Part 3 of Bottlegate’s 2014 Cleveland Browns Season Preview

Browns Betting Guide

Odds to win the Super Bowl: 70/1. Throw 10 bucks on it and hope for a God damn miracle.

Odds to win the AFC Championship: 45/1. Hey, at least we’re not last. Oakland is at 100/1 and Jacksonville is at 125/1.

Win Total: Over/Under: 6.5. For me this whole bet hinges on if Josh Gordon’s suspension is lifted or not. If Gordon doesn’t see the field this season I’m betting the Under. If Gordon suits up, I think everything with the Browns changes drastically and I HAMMER the over.

Against the spread in 2013 the Browns were a pretty bad 6-10. 3-5 at home and 3-5 away. 9 of their games went Over and 7 went Under. 5 home games went over and 3 games went under. They were 4-4 on Over/Unders on the road.

Proposition Bet Yes No
Johnny Manziel wins MVP 75/1
Manziel leads NFL in passing 150/1
Manziel wins Off. ROY 14/1
Justin Gilbert wins Def. ROY 25/1
Manziel is fined in regular season +200 -300
Manziel wins ROY and makes the playoffs +2000

The only prop bet here worth looking at is Manziel getting fined in the regular season. I could see his uniform not being up to code or him getting a penalty for taunting after doing the Money sign in some chump defender’s ugly face.

Proposition Bet O/U
Ben Tate – Total Rushing Yards 800.5
Ben Tate – Total Touchdowns 6.5
Jordan Cameron – Total Receiving TDs 6
Jordan Cameron – Total Rec Yards 850.5
Paul Kruger – Total Sacks 6
Joe Haden – Total Interceptions 3.5

Ben Tate total rushing yards- WAYY OVER. Lock of the year… Ben Tate has never had more than 4 touchdowns in a season, so I wouldn’t touch that. I like Jordan Cameron OVER 850 total yards (that’s only 53 yards a game) and like Joe Haden OVER 3.5 interceptions.\

 

SEASON OUTLOOK

 

Cleveland has the 7th easiest schedule according to opponents winning percentage.  I expect the Browns to surprise this year. IF Josh Gordon gets his suspension lifted, this team is loaded with legitimate NFL talent. Shit, we have 5 pro bowlers returning this season. This isn’t the same 4-12 Browns. In my heart I truly believe the Browns surprise people this year.

In the NFL, games can go either way, so many games are decided by one play here and there or by a field goal as time expires. For once in my lifetime why can’t the Browns be on the winning side of these games? Well this year they will be. I don’t know if it’s the hype videos talking or what but I think the Browns will have a successful season. How “successful” is defined, I don’t know. A lot of the games won’t be pretty. Defensive battles till the final whistle, games of field goals and field position, 3 and outs galore. But I’m calling it. This year the ball bounces in the Browns favor more than it doesn’t. If the Browns can make it through their first 3 games without going 0-3, there should be real optimism for this team. They don’t have a hard schedule and the AFC North is actually pretty average. If EVERYTHING goes right and players play up to their potential, I see the Browns sticking around till the end. I don’t think this team is a 4-12 or 5-11 team of old.

My Prediction: Browns finish 8-8 and are one of the teams ESPN labels as “In the hunt” till the final week or so of the regular season.

johnnyparade

 

But in typical Cleveland fashion, everything can go to shit. Wouldn’t be surprised if 10 starters simultaneously blew out their ACLs on the same play, Swagger gets loose and bites Mike Pettine in the dick, and First Energy Stadium spontaneously combusts. Only in Cleveland.

 

Browns 17

Pittsburgh 14

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