Tag Archives: prop bets

Revisiting the Bottlegate 2015 Super Bowl Betting Guide: Breakdown & Recap

Link to the betting guide that was posted yesterday

We came. We saw. We conquered. If you took any of the advice from yesterday’s post there’s a chance you’ve probably already quit your job and/or are on your way to an all inclusive resort in the Bahama paid for by all your winnings from yesterday.

Let’s look at the tape:

Patriots (-2) & OVER/UNDER 47.5

Patriots won by 4 and the game total was 52

Easy money.

WIN and WIN

 

First player to score a touchdown

The pick: Marshawn Lynch, Julian Edelman, Shane Vereen

Like I said in the post, I’ve NEVER gotten one of these right. Brandon LaFell was +1,400 so hopefully some of you hit on that.

LOSS

 

OVER/UNDER National Anthem Length

The pick: Over 2 minutes and 1 second

Never a doubt. You know Idina was going to bring the flair and dramatics to the biggest sporting event in the world. Only a sucker would’ve bet the under.

It seems people had some insider info on the anthem length because it was taken off the board on some sites

WIN

Coin Toss

Pick: Tails

Too easy. Tails never fails.

WIN

Which coach will be mentioned first after kickoff & which coach will be shown first after kickoff?

Pick: Belichick for both.

This Super Bowl was all about Bill and the Patriots

WIN and WIN

Bill Belichick’s hoodie: Sleeves or no sleeves?

Pick: Sleeves

Like I said, Belichick knew about this prop bet and knew cut off sleeves were the favorite. He 100% wore sleeves just to spite everyone.

WIN

Will Uptown Funk be used in a commercial?

Pick Yes +500

Bet of the day comes through.

WIN

How many viewers will the game have?

Pick: Over 113 million

There were 114.4 people that tuned in.

WIN

Katy Perry’s first song

Pick: Wide Awake

Really really messed this one up. Tried going for it all with the 12/1 odds with Wide Awake and not just going with the easy 3/2 odds with Roar. It’s called gambling for a reason. Losers take the safe route. Pretty sure she didn’t even sing Wide Awake.

LOSS

Will Katy Perry show cleavage?

Pick: Yes

Was honestly hoping for more but this was easy enough. When you’re blessed with the beautiful gifts that Katy is blessed with you make sure the entire country gets an eyeful.

Left shark killed it.

WIN

Katy Perry’s hair color

Pick: Purple

Tried to out think myself again and I did. I said it would either be purple or black/brown and it ended up being black.

LOSS

A commercial will feature under-inflated footballs

Pick: Yes +1,000

Said that this probably wouldn’t happen and alas, it didn’t. The +1,000 was too juicy to pass up though

LOSS

Gatorade bath color

Pick: Red

I picked red not really thinking it would be red since yellow mostly wins these all the time. Surprise surprise it ended up being blue.

LOSS

Who will the MVP thank first?

Pick: Teammates

Good ol Tommy Touchdown thanking the men around him. What a guy.

WIN

Final Count 11 wins and 5 losses with most of the losses being on longshots that you wouldn’t put any significant money on anyway. Hopefully you guys took the advice and won some cash.

And with that cash that you won, you should visit our store and score some t-shirts

Bottlegate’s Super Bowl Betting Guide (Prop bets galore!)

Like every other red-blodded American you’ll be sitting in front of a TV, beer in one hand, pizza in the other, ready to watch the Patriots and Seahawks square off in Super Bowl 49. If you’re like me you probably have at least 10 or 11 different bets ready to go for the game. Aside from the normal betting lines, over/unders, player props, you’ll be throwing your hard earned money on the dumb random asinise stuff like the National Anthem length, coin flip, and the color of Katy Perry’s hair. There’s no greater thrill than betting the rent on the color of a pop star’s hair when she performs at halftime. It’s what separates the men from the boys.

The Super Bowl is when we’re gonna thrive. All of the countless & countless & COUNTLESS bets you lost during the fall football season are erased Sunday. Things like betting Ohio State football to win under 10 games and/or betting the Cavs to win over 59 games (I did both of these oops) are nullified once you nail that Gatorade shower color.

Let’s make some money Sunday

 

The Game

Patriots (-1.5) v Seahawks

OVER/UNDER 47.5

I don’t think Belichick & Brady lose 3 Super Bowls in a row. No way no how. With all the bullshit that’s been surrounding them the past 2 weeks I think they come out strong and win pretty handily.

Pick: Patriots and OVER

 

Player Prop Bets

 

First player to score a touchdown
Marshawn Lynch +450 BET Rob Gronkowski +500 BET
LeGarrette Blount +700 BET Julian Edelman +800 BET
Doug Baldwin +1,200 BET Russell Wilson +1,200 BET
Brandon LaFell +1,400 BET Shane Vereen +1,500 BET
Luke Willson +1,600 BET Jermaine Kearse +1,600 BET
Robert Turbin +2,000 BET Danny Amendola +2,500 BET
Cooper Helfet +3,000 BET Tom Brady +3,000 BET
Field (Any Other Player) +500 BET No Touchdown Scored +15,000 BET

I’ve never gotten one of these right so we’ll throw some money on Marshawn Lynch, Julian Edelman, and Shane Vereen.

 

 

All Other Prop Bets

 

OVER/UNDER National Anthem Length

Over- 2 minutes 1 second -140

Under- 2 minutes 1 second EVEN

The anthem is being sung by Idina Menzel (you know, the chick who sings Let It Go from Frozen)

 

Here’s her rendition at the 2014 All Star game. As you can see she’s SLOW. Dragging out notes, dramatic pauses, all that jazz. In her All-Star game rendition she was 1 minute 59.44 seconds. That’s just for the MLB All Star game which has what, like 1,000 viewers? The Super Bowl is the biggest stage in the world and Idina is gonna milk this thing.

Pick: OVER

Coin Toss

Haven’t gotten a coin toss wrong since Rams-Patriots.

Pick: TAILS

 

Which coach will be mentioned first after kickoff?
Which coach will be shown first on TV after kickoff?

Belichick -150 (both)

Pete Carroll +110 (both)

The beginning of the game is always about Belichick. It doesn’t matter who gets the ball first it’s going to be “And let’s see what Bill Belichick and the Patriots can do on offense” or “let’s see what Bill Belichick and the Patriots can do on defense.” This Super Bowl is all about Bill and the Patriots, don’t let anyone tell you differently.

Pick: Belichick for both bets

 

Bill Belichick hoodie style

Sleeves: +145

Sleeves cut: -185

The game is being played in a climate controlled environment. Everyone is saying no sleeves. You know Bill is aware of this prop bet  and you know he’s aware that the cut sleeves are the favorite. This is why I’m picking sleeves. Bill is gonna give everyone the middle finger and stick it to the public once again.

Pick: Sleeves

 

Will “Uptown Funk” be used in a Super Bowl commercial?

Yes: +500

No: -100

You can’t walk five feet without hearing Bruno Mars belting out “Dont believe me just watch!” This song is EVERYWHERE. You know some commercial or movie trailer that’s shown in the third or fourth quarter will have it as their background music. This right here is my bet of the day.  Hammer it.

Pick: YES

 

How many viewers will the game have

Over 113 million: -300

Under 113 million: +200

Here are the viewership numbers for the past 5 Super Bowls

  • 44- 106 million
  • 45- 111 million
  • 46- 111.3 million
  • 47- 108.4 million
  • 48- 111.5 million

It’s been hovering in the 111-111.5 million range the past 4 years and I think this 2 week layoff that the NFL does kinda makes the game lose some momentum. However, with all the social media, with deflategate being a national talking point, and with Katy Perry performing at halftime, this game is going over 113 million.

Pick: OVER 113 million viewers

 

Katy Perry’s first song

Firework (3-2); Roar (3-2); This is How We Do (5-1); Dark Horse (12-1); E.T. (12-1); Wide Awake (12-1); Waking Up in Vegas (20-1)

Everyone and their mother is picking Roar but I don’t see it as a good opening song. I feel like Roar is more of a “rising action” song that builds to the climax (last song) which will undoubtedly be Firework. Wide Awake has that it factor, it just sounds like an opener to me.

Her last 10 shows have opened with Roar (yes I researched). You think she’s going to open with the same setlist she’s been using? Get the hell out of here. This is the Super Bowl, she’s switching things up… If it’s not Wide Awake then E.T. is another strong candidate as well.

Pick: Wide Awake

 

Will Katy Perry show cleavage?

Yes -500

No +350

Tens of millions of men across the United States will be heartbroken if it’s a no. Therefore it SHOULD be a yes. Do the right thing, Katy. Let ’em breathe.

Pick: YES

 

Katy Perry’s hair color

Black/Brown (2-1); Pink/Red (3-1); Blue/Green (3-1); Blonde (4-1); Purple (5-1)

It’s either going to be normal black/brown or purple. I don’t like the 2/1 odds for black so I’m going with purple.

Pick: PURPLE

 

A commercial will feature under-inflated footballs

Yes: +1,000

No: -1,000

Admittedly I don’t think that any commercial using Deflategate as a joke will sneak past the NFL but these odds are just too good to pass up. You’ve gotta throw a couple of bucks on yes and hope for a big payout.

Pick: YES

 

Gatorade Shower Color
  • Orange 3/2
  • Yellow 5/2
  • Clear/Water 3/1
  • Blue 13/2
  • Red 15/2
  • Green 12/1

Essentially this comes down to which team you think is going to win and what color Gatorade you think they’ll be drinking for the game. I’m picking the Patriots to win. In their past 3 Super Bowl wins they’ve had clear, and then twice have had no Gatorade bath because Belichick hates fun… I don’t know why but I’m leaning red. Wildcard, bitches.

Pick: Red

 

Who will the MVP thank first?
Teammates
8/5
God
2/1
Fans/City
6/1
Owner
12/1
Coach
15/1
Family
15/1
Does not mention any of the above
5/2

 

Again, this bet focuses mostly on who you think will win the game. If the Patriots win I think the MVP will be Brady or Gronk. Brady is 100% going to thank his teammates or the organization while Gronk will probably thank Fireball  whisky or the person who invented 69’ing.

If you think the Seahawks will win, Russell Wilson is a good pick for MVP. He’s undoubtedly thanking God. Now if the Seahawks win we have to pray that Marshawn Lynch somehow wins the MVP and thanks himself or just doesn’t talk at all.

Pick: Teammates